In a few weeks it will be Christmas and after that we will have a new years eve. If we look back at 2016 a lot have happened. But 2017 stock market will be the year that will bring us a lot of new hope. And for some a new beginning (US ,UK, EU). In 2017 there are a lot of elections in Europe. Countries such as the Netherlands, France, Germany and Italy will choose their new presidents or prime ministers. These elections might give fear to investors, which will lead the European stock market into a bearish trend.
2017 stock market: Brexit
The prime minister Theresa May is aiming to start article 50 by the end of March 2017. By triggering this Article 50, the Uk can start the procedure and negotiation talks to leave the EU union.
When the Brexit was voted, Juncker was eager to start the negotiation talks as soon as possible. Seemed he was well prepared for that. But I think times have turn a bit to the Uk advantage. Because the UK has already a few companies, that promised to stay after the Brexit. And a few companies like Apple promised to keep on investing and creating jobs in the UK.
The Brexit negotiations talks will have an effect on the European stock markets for sure. Whether it will be negative or positive it is hard to tell. But one thing will be sure is that both parties will do their best to create the best environment for business to go or stay at their place. So in the end the Brexit thing might be the best thing that has happened for businesses.
As a thought I think when the start of the Brexit negotiations talks begins that the markets will react for a short period of time. Because I think that both parties will try the calm down the markets. After all a crashing financial markets looks bad for politicians. And the ECB and BOE won’t stand on the sideline either.
2017 stock market: Donald Trump
On one of my youtube videos, I had predicted that Donald Trump would win the election. Since the win of Trump the stock market has been hitting new all time high records. We are currently in a bullish trend.As long Donald can make his promise come true about the tax reduction and getting rid of some regulations rules for businesses in the current positive economic growth of US, then I don’t see a reason yet of why the bullish trend of the 2017 stock market has to stop.
However the markets will go down as soon Donald’s China teasing takes a serious form. Right now I think that Donald is testing the waters with China to negotiate a better trade deal.
Other things to keep a eye on in 2017 stock market
A few other things to keep an eye on are the Russian 2017 stock market and its currency Russian Rubble. I think both of them will go higher in value in 2017. I think that Putin will succeed in persuading US and Japan in cancelling their economic sanctions against Russia. And more importantly I think that Oil prize will stabilise. Both of these factors will benefit Russia well.
Bitcoin will continue to go in price as well, the reason for this is mainly China. China will continue to face challenges to stabilise their currency Yuan against the US dollar.